The US Federal Reserve cut rates by 25 basis points to 4-4.25% range overnight, marking the first cut this cycle. Indian markets are positioned for a positive opening with GIFT Nifty trading 77 points higher at 25,500 levels.
Fed Delivers as Expected: The US Federal Reserve cut rates by 25 basis points to 4-4.25% range overnight, marking the first cut this cycle.
Key Watch Factor: Post-Fed Dollar weakness is supporting INR strength (now at 87.9 vs 88.05), creating favorable conditions for FII flows which turned positive at ₹308cr yesterday.
Indian IT H1-B Pivot: Major IT companies reducing H-1B dependence, shifting to local hiring in US markets.
Why now: Liquidity rotation into cyclicals + confirmed Fed easing improves risk appetite; domestic flows remain supportive.
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Fed Delivers as Expected: The US Federal Reserve cut rates by 25 basis points to 4-4.25% range overnight, marking the first cut this cycle. Indian markets are positioned for a positive opening with GIFT Nifty trading 77 points higher at 25,500 levels.
Urban Company Stellar Debut: Listed at ₹162.25 vs issue price of ₹103, delivering 57.52% listing gains. The strong performance validates consumer services demand and could boost upcoming service sector IPOs.
______________________________________________________________________ FinBox (Private): $40 mn round led by WestBridge (with A91 & AB Ventures) - signals steady interest in credit infra rails.
IPO Pipeline Heating: Jefferies projects India's IPO market could add $1.3-1.5 trillion market cap over next 7-10 years. Today's focus on Euro Pratik Sales (₹451cr) and upcoming Tata Capital (₹15,000cr) IPOs.
Underreported Data Point: India's rice stocks hit record 48.2 million tonnes, wheat at 4-year high of 33.3 million tonnes. This agricultural surplus could support rural consumption ahead of festive season.
______________________________________________________________________ Global Quirk: Despite Fed rate cuts, long-term US yields trending lower while small-cap value continues outperforming mega-cap growth. This divergence signals structural market rotation.
Thesis: A strong listing for an asset-light, hyperlocal services marketplace may re-rate the “platform services” cohort (home services, micro-logistics, beauty/wellness, gig-infra).
Peer watch-list (India): Nykaa (beauty services adjacencies), Zomato/Blinkit (hyperlocal ops), and smaller O2O platforms for multiple expansion if profitability path holds.
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“ There was no broad support for a larger cut.” — Jerome Powell , post-FOMC presser, Sep 17 (US) . (Context: Committee opted for a 25 bps move, signaling measured easing.
Nifty Weekly Momentum: Second consecutive week of gains (+1.5% last week), with September 18-19 flagged as crucial momentum dates by technical analysts. The index has sustained above 25,300 resistance-turned-support.
______________________________________________________________________ This analysis is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. All market data is sourced from official exchanges and verified through multiple sources. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Investors should conduct their own research before making investment decisions.
This research is for information and education only and is not investment advice. Figures may be provisional. Oorjita.AI and its authors may hold positions in securities mentioned. Please consult a SEBI-registered investment adviser before making investment decisions. Published Thursday, 18 September 2025, 9:17 AM IST.
All four layers aligned bearish. A/D = capitulation breadth.
Morning's Bear call was directionally validated, but the intraday recovery depth was underestimated. The market found its panic floor exactly where the morning brief mapped it — and then bounced.
Despite flat index performance, more stocks declined (1672) than advanced (1494), indicating weak internal market strength. This suggests the market move was concentrated in a few heavyweight stocks.
