August 26, 2025 | Risk-Off Selloff, FMCG Resilience, and FII–DII Tug of War

Oorjita Evening Newsletter

Date: 26-Aug-2025

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Indian markets closed sharply lower today, with Nifty 50 at 24,712.05,
Sensex at 80,786.54, and Bank Nifty around 54,450.45.
Financial sources. INR/USD settled near 87.4174 (RBI reference), with spot and futures trading reported at 87.7 per USD across live trackers.

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Feedback on Morning Newsletter

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The morning brief rightly emphasized IT sector optimism and earnings momentum; today's reality diverged with broad risk-off trade after surprise US tariff headlines, leading to heavy selloff in midcap/realty. Subscriber feedback echoed that “sector rallies faded” in late hours, and concerns around rapid unwind in banking stocks were largely validated.

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Key Movements in Indian Shares

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• Validated Closes: Nifty 50 (-1.02%), Sensex (-1.04%), Bank Nifty (-1.25%) all official close
levels.

• Sector Leaders: FMCG only major gainers (+0.91%), led by HUL, Maruti Suzuki, and ITC.

• Laggards: Realty, Pharma, Metal, PSU Banks saw steepest losses; mid and small caps underperformed by 1.6%–2%.

• Unique Pattern: Sustained FII selling met unusually high DII counter-flows (+3178 Cr), reflecting institutional backstop against global volatility.

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Economic Data Surprises & FX

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• INR/USD: Spot traded at 87.7, EOD RBI settlement 87.4174. No major surprise releases, but rupee volatility persisted due to trade news.

• VIX: India VIX up 4%, highlighting elevated risk perception.

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Unique & Original Insights

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• Options OI spikes at 25,000 Call and 24,800 Put show market hedging for expiry week.

• Derivative volumes down 22% ahead of holiday; volatility likely to persist due to F&O bans on RBL Bank/Titagarh Rail.

• Liquidity stress visible in Realty/PSU Bank sectors as FII sell-off was unusually concentrated.

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Closing & Subscriber Engagement

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Tomorrow’s inflection point: Watch for Nifty support at 24,700 and Bank Nifty at 54,200. Sector rotation remains key; subscribers are invited to submit polls or queries on midcap stocks and IPO prospects. Expect a data-driven rebound strategy for review.

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Compliance & Disclaimer

This newsletter is for educational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice. Always verify market data independently before making decisions. Oorjita FinAI Services does not guarantee future returns or accuracy of all market predictions.

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