While domestic sentiment remains constructive with FIIs turning net buyers after weeks of selling, global headwinds from Wall Street's Monday decline ahead of Nvidia's crucial earnings (Wednesday) may temper early enthusiasm.
MK
Dr. Murali KalyanaramanGlobal CFO · 30+ years in corporate finance · Chartered Accountant (ICAI) · 9 min read
Signal panelThe research, before the reading · 9 min full note
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Good morning, investors!: Indian markets closed their sixth consecutive winning session yesterday, with the Nifty reclaiming the psychological 26,000 mark after 12 sessions.
This research is for information and education only and is not investment advice. Figures may be provisional. Oorjita.AI and its authors may hold positions in securities mentioned. Please consult a SEBI-registered investment adviser before making investment decisions. Published Tuesday, 18 November 2025, 7:57 AM IST.
Sectoral Ripple Effects: The IPO surge reflects renewed investor appetite and strong corporate confidence, supported by positive macroeconomic factors and a robust equity ecosystem.
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RBI Inflation Forecast: Projects 1.8% for Oct-Dec 2025 before rising to 4% by early 2026 as base normalizes
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PhysicsWallah IPO Listing: NSE/BSE debut; watch for opening pop and stabilization levels
Good morning, investors! Indian markets closed their sixth consecutive winning session yesterday, with the Nifty reclaiming the psychological 26,000 mark after 12 sessions. However, GIFT Nifty futures suggest a cautious start this morning, trading at 26,006-26,008, down 36-54 points from yesterday's close.
Key watch factors:
PhysicsWallah IPO listing debut on NSE/BSE
Bengaluru Tech Summit 2025 kicks off with Karnataka unveiling new IT, startup, and space-tech policies
Nvidia earnings on November 19 (global AI trade bellwether)
Bank Nifty momentum after breaching 59,000 for the first time
Tech Pulse
Karnataka Unveils KEO: India's First Ultra-Affordable AI PC
A day before the Bengaluru Tech Summit 2025, Karnataka government unveiled KEO, India's first ultra-affordable AI-ready computer designed to bridge the state's digital access gap. The 28th edition of the summit, themed 'Futurise', begins today at Bangalore International Exhibition Centre with over 10,000 innovators, featuring 10 focused tracks including DeepTech, Semiconductors, and Defence & SpaceTech.
Policy Announcements Expected: Karnataka will unveil its SpaceTech policy, Startup Policy 3.0, and new Centres of Excellence in quantum and electronics, backed by an initial Rs 600 crore DeepTech commitment.
HCLTech-Nvidia Physical AI Lab Goes Live
HCLTech partnered with Nvidia to launch a Santa Clara lab helping global enterprises build, test, and scale physical AI and robotics solutions for next-gen industrial automation. This comes as Nvidia prepares to report Q3 FY26 earnings on Wednesday, with the AI chip giant's performance set to influence global tech sentiment.
Electronics Manufacturing Push
The Indian government cleared 17 projects to boost production of electronic components, with the second set of announcements pushing total cleared projects to Rs 12,704 crore out of a Rs 1.15 lakh crore total expected outlay.
Sector Sentiment Impact: Nifty IT has remained resilient despite global tech weakness, with domestic policy support and AI infrastructure investments providing a cushion.
Funding Radar
PhysicsWallah IPO Lists Today
The edtech platform makes its Dalal Street debut today after raising Rs 3,480.71 crore through its IPO (fresh issue of Rs 3,100.71 crore + OFS of Rs 380 crore at Rs 103-109 per share). Grey market premium (GMP) indicates a modest 6.42% premium at Rs 116 versus issue price of Rs 109.
Allotment: Finalized on November 14, 2025; shares credited on November 17.
November's Rs 76,000 Crore IPO Surge
November 2025 is witnessing an unprecedented IPO wave with over Rs 76,000 crore of issues lined up, spanning 15-20 IPOs across consumer goods, infrastructure, renewable energy, finance, and technology. Major upcoming listings include:
Groww: Rs 7,000 crore (online brokerage)
Lenskart: Rs 8,000 crore (eyewear retail)
Pine Labs: Rs 5,800 crore (fintech/merchant solutions)
Mutual Funds' October IPO Bet
Mutual funds pumped over Rs 13,527 crore into 10 IPOs in October 2025, signaling institutional confidence in India's primary market momentum.
Sectoral Ripple Effects: The IPO surge reflects renewed investor appetite and strong corporate confidence, supported by positive macroeconomic factors and a robust equity ecosystem. EdTech and fintech sectors are particularly active, positioning for India's digital-first economy.
Top Losers: Tata Motors PV (-4.74%), UltraTech Cement (-0.83%), Jio Financial Services (-0.78%), Asian Paints (-0.72%)
Bank Nifty Milestone
Bank Nifty tested the 59,000 mark for the first time, rising 0.76% after a gap-up opening and forming a bullish candle on the daily chart. Bajaj Broking noted, "The index registered a clean breakout from recent consolidation, trading well above important moving averages on all timeframes".
Support:58,600-58,000 | Resistance:58,900-59,500
Nifty 50 Technical Setup
Support Zone:25,800-25,850 (likely to attract buyers on any pullback) Resistance Targets:26,100 (immediate), 26,300 (extended) Trend: Bullish candle formation with higher highs and higher lows; uptrend remains strong
Nifty Midcap 100:61,180.50 (+0.73%, new record close)
Nifty Smallcap 100:18,347.60 (+0.52%)
India VIX: 11.79 (-1.25%)
Actionable Watch Levels:
Nifty: Buy on dips to 25,850 zone; exit longs below 25,800; upside targets 26,100/26,300
Bank Nifty: Hold above 58,600 for 59,500 target; stop-loss at 58,000
Quick Bytes (Global/Off-Radar)
Wall Street Wobbles Ahead of Nvidia
U.S. stocks retreated sharply on Monday, with the Dow down 557 points (-1.18%), S&P 500 falling 0.92%, and Nasdaq slipping 0.84%. Nvidia declined 1.8% while Super Micro Computer dropped 6.4%, weighing on AI-driven tech stocks ahead of Nvidia's Wednesday earnings.
The tech-heavy Nasdaq is on pace to snap its seven-month win streak, while the S&P 500 is down 2.5% in November after rallying for six straight months.
Alphabet Leads Gainers
Within the Nasdaq 100, the biggest gainer on November 17 was Alphabet-A (GOOGL), which climbed 3.11% to close at $285.02.
India Skills Report 2026
India's employability rose to 56.35% in 2026 from 54.81% in 2025, with women surpassing men for the first time in five years. The report projects India's gig workforce will reach 23.5 million by 2030, with the country expected to supply a surplus of 45 million skilled professionals to address global labor shortages of 85 million.
Deep Dive – India's IPO Boom: Signal or Noise?
Deep Dive Topic: India's Inflation Shock – 0.25% Print Opens Door to RBI Rate Cut
Bonanza
Why This Matters Today
India's retail inflation collapsed to 0.25% in October 2025—the lowest since the CPI series began in 2013—setting up a potential 25-50 bps rate cut runway before year-end and reshaping sector rotation strategies for 2026.
Key Data Points (Validated)
Headline CPI: 0.25% (Oct 2025) vs 1.44% (Sep 2025) vs 6.21% (Oct 2024)
Food Inflation: -5.02% (negative for first time in years) vs -2.28% in September
Core Inflation: 4.33%, slightly elevated due to gold/silver price surge
Auto & Durables: Consumption revival from lower financing costs + discretionary spend recovery
Caution Zones:
FMCG: Deflation pressure limits pricing power; volumes must compensate
Defensive High-Yielders: Bond proxies (utilities, staples) lose relative appeal if yields compress
The Disinflation Risk
Some economists flag this may mark the trough in inflation; festive-linked retail sales surge makes it difficult to gauge sustainable demand. If inflation rebounds sharply by Q1 2026, RBI's rate-cut window may shut faster than expected.
Chart Hook
What to Watch Today
Key Events – November 18, 2025
PhysicsWallah IPO Listing: NSE/BSE debut; watch for opening pop and stabilization levels
RBI Auction: Government securities auction scheduled
Global Watch: Asian markets trading cautiously ahead of Nvidia earnings (Nov 19); Nikkei slides on risk-off sentiment
Macro Calendar
Thursday, Nov 20: Infrastructure Output YoY (Exp: 3.4% vs 3.0% prior)
Friday, Nov 21: HSBC Manufacturing PMI Flash (Exp: 59.5 vs 59.2 prior); HSBC Composite PMI Flash
Wednesday, Nov 19: Nvidia Q3 FY26 earnings (consensus revenue: $207.56 billion for FY26)
Earnings Watch
No major Indian corporate earnings today, but focus shifts to HCLTech and BSE for any announcements linked to tech summit and IPO listing support.
Quote of the Day
"Karnataka is strategically focusing on DeepTech for the next decade, with an initial commitment of Rs 600 crore. This edition will feature the Future Makers Conclave, a high-energy gathering of over 10,000 innovators, industry leaders, students and entrepreneurs."
— N Manjula, Secretary, Department of Electronics, IT, Biotechnology, and Science & Technology, Karnataka Government Curtain raiser event, November 17, 2025
Chart of the Day
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